Traffic Analysis, Statistical Anomaly Detection

نویسندگان

  • Gerhard MÜNZ
  • Georg CARLE
چکیده

In this paper, we evaluate the capability to detect traffic anomalieswith Shewhart, CUSUM, andEWMA control charts. In order to cope with seasonal variation and serial correlation, control charts are not applied to traffic measurement time-series directly, but to the prediction errors of exponential smoothing and Holt-Winters forecasting. The evaluation relies on flow data collected in an ISP backbone network and shows that good detection results can be achieved with an appropriate choice and parametrization of the forecasting method and the control chart. On the other hand, the relevance of the detected anomalies for the network operator mainly depends on the monitored metrics and the selected parts of traffic.

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تاریخ انتشار 2008